Sixth Sense: A Web you can wear


In the April 15th edition of the Christian Science Monitor, I had the priviledge of providing analysis and commentary of MIT’s “Sixth Sense” device.  For the uninitiated, Sixth Sense is a conglomeration of wearable mobile tools (webcam, 3G modem, micro-projector and palmtop computer) that together collect data about the world around the wearer, and superimpose data from the cloud on top of physicality.

The full article is here: http://features.csmonitor.com/innovation/2009/04/15/sixth-sense-a-web-you-can-wear/

You can see a video of the device here:



Some choice quotes:

But observers are already envisioning future improvements to Sixth Sense that could result in some startling possibilities.

“Its current representation is a pretty fun parlor trick that has the roots of being a transformative capability down the road,” says Jonas Lamis, founder of the advanced technology research and consulting firm SciVestor in Austin, Texas.

Among Mr. Lamis’s predictions: Sixth Sense’s current projector will eventually give way to contact lenses that overlay data directly onto a person’s field of vision.

In places where we now find fixed advertisements, like posters or billboards, we will see ads calibrated to our exact location and interests, he says. We will effortlessly access virtual conversations, like those on Twitter, about the people, places, and events we come across in person.

And Sixth Sense-type computers with advanced facial recognition capabilities, Lamis says, might show information about the people we pass on the street. We would know if he donated to a political candidate, if she writes an environmentally themed blog, or if he appears in a database of registered child predators – all in real time.

“People in different areas are thinking about this as viable for consumers down the road,” Lamis says. “It [will have] really profound implications for how [we] ultimately see the world.”



Architecting The Future - A thought for IT strategists


I was sitting a home watching TV the other evening when a commercial came on the screen that blew me way.  It was made to look like archival footage of an old gas station being built, circa early 20th century. Snow-capped mountains loom in the distance indicating the creation of an American outpost where the prairie meets the Rockies.  As the time-lapse images progressed over the next minute, I saw the station’s comings and goings.  Kids growing up and heading off by Greyhound.  Cars, pulling in and out of the station getting fancier and larger. A driving piano score creates a tension as the images flashing on the screen go from black and white to Technicolor. The station itself is demolished and rebuilt at least 4 times in those 60 seconds, each bringing us closer to a picture of the 21st century oil economy.


And then the most unexpected thing happens.  The station withers into oblivion, the fields reclaim the asphalt and only the mountains remain.   The punch line:  The new Chevy Volt appears.


In 2010, General Motors plans to launch the Chevy Volt, a “plug-in” electric / gas hybrid that will travel 40 miles without any gas at all.  If battery technology grows on an exponential path (like Moore’s Law is driving the semiconductor industry), by the middle of the next decade, we will see vehicles that can travel hundreds of miles on an overnight charge from your garage.  By the end of the decade ahead, we are legitimately looking at the end of the gas station, as we know it.


So what does this have to do with strategic IT planning?


For the last thirty years, IT strategists and enterprise architects have held the primary roles in the enterprise for understanding technology change.  Because of the nature of the digitization of “Information” and the progress of “Technology” it was frequently enough to be an expert on processes within the four walls of the data center.  But as advancing technologies spill beyond the traditional bounds of the IT department, a new set of skills and a more savvy approach to the politics of the enterprise are necessary for those who wish to continue to wear the strategy badge.  Based on the results of the Architecture & Governance Magazine 2008 readers survey (of which I am the editor), IT departments appear to acknowledge the need to be up to the task.


The most startling result from our reader survey was the increase in C-level involvement in supporting enterprise scale transformation initiatives.  In fact, 56% of those surveyed indicated their CEO, CFO, CIO or VP was responsible for driving large-scale change.  This is up over 500% from our 2007 survey.  Across the board in the survey, as well in side bar conversations, executives are taking a much stronger interest in the sponsorship, capabilities and performance of architects and IT strategists.


Changes like the Chevy Volt occur at the intersection of corporate strategy and technology advancement and this commercial is a harbinger of coming waves of technology progress that are going to turn business models, enterprises, perhaps even whole segments of the economy on their heads.   The energy sector is already headed over the precipice.  Just behind it is everything from medical to mining to manufacturing.


As a strategist of your enterprise, the time is here to look beyond the cubicle wall, past the blinking lights of the datacenter, and raise your eyes to the snow capped mountains beyond.  There’s a change coming.


You can view the Chevy Volt commercial here.



Blown To Bits: Interview with the Authors


As part of my work with Architecture & Governance Magazine, I had the opportunity to review a new book: Blown to Bits.  The following conversation will appear in the October issue of A&G.


A&G sat down with the Ken Ledeen and Harry Lewis, the authors (along with IEEE Fellow Hal Abelson) to discuss their new book, Blown To Bits: Your Life, Liberty, and Happiness after the Digital Explosion.  (www.bitsbook.com)
The authors paint a profound picture of the risks and rewards of our techno-enhanced future.  In particular, we wanted to get their insight to the implications of every accelerating technological power on the legacy processes of the enterprise.


A&G:  Much debate has occurred around the future of IT in a distributed, open-sourced, service oriented world.  How do large IT organizations have to change in the decade ahead in order to adapt to the new structures of society, information and business.


BtB: We talk about how institutions move so much more slowly than technology.  This is clearly seen in the world of legislation, and how the legal system has a hard time keeping pace with technology change.  Global 2000 organizations, while smaller than governments, will likely continue to move the governance mechanisms forward quite slowly in the decade ahead.


Look inside traditional IT organizations.  How many COBOL and mainframe programmers do they still have?  Lots more than you might imagine.  Changes are slow to come about because the IT organization is typically focused on guarding corporate assets.


Organizations that have a lot to preserve become very conservative.  On the other hand, organizations without a legacy to manage can become extraordinarily innovative and have the opportunity to surpass the legacy institution.


On the other hand, one of the real opportunities for large IT organizations in the decade ahead is to create enormous value by mining the information that they collected as collateral aspects of their normal business. Leading organizations are finding ways to get at these vast storehouses in information and translate that information to insight and value.  This is a place where strategic IT and enterprise architecture can play a major role.


A&G: What do you see as the future of enterprise in the United States?


BtB: There is a tremendous amount of innovation taking place in entrepreneurial companies, and that is also spreading to other forums.  And it takes large organizations with their span of resources and influence to apply these innovations.   The risk among large corporations is that they miss out on embracing these new organizational paradigms.


As an example, we discuss about how Search is a new organizational paradigm in the book.  Enterprises were built with physical buildings that had rooms filled with file cabinets of information.  That metaphor carried forward into the digital age with file folders and windows and directory structures.  Search turns that paradigm on its head.  Search says you don’t categorize, you find.  While this concept came from small companies, it is now finding a foothold across the largest enterprises, which are the repositories of so much undiscovered value.


Even Google continues to morph itself.  It is no longer “just” a search company.  It is becoming a storage and retrieval company – understanding the value locked in the unstructured data of the world – for companies that don’t consider information as their main product.


A decade ago, the question was about outsourcing my hardware.  Do I want to outsource it.  Should I go to India to make that happen?  More recently, the question turned to outsourcing the application stack.  A critical question of the near future is: Do I outsource my data?  Not just the storage of it, but the management, care, feeding, and curation of it.


Are the employees at Google better in tune with the Enterprise Architecture approach of managing the inconnectivity of that data, the relationships that exist through it, and the associated value that can be captured from understanding those non obvious relationships – rather than your typical IT organization?
If I am an insurance company, I know the relationship between policy and policyholder, but I no doubt have tremendous insight buried in the related grid of information assets that I don’t have a clue about uncovering.  This offers both a tremendous challenge and opportunity for companies in the decade ahead.


A&G:  The workforce for corporate IT is aging, and it is not readily apparent that today’s “digital natives” are overly anxious to step into the shoes of their data center and application management forefathers.  What advice doyou have for corporate IT teams looking to recruit the best and the brightest?


BtB Rekindling the excitement about IT careers of any kind is a major task for the American education system.  Every computer science department is thinking about this.  The Bureau of Labor statistics point to a 50% growth in the need for IT professionals in the coming decade.  But the fact of the matter is that there is a labor shortage in every niche.


Much has been made about the cost benefits of outsourcing IT jobs - $200,000 per head in the US vs. $60,000 per head in India.  The reality is, that in the not-too-distant future, when a company has to choose from these too options, they will find that they will need to hire both –just to keep up with headcount demands.


Companies need to expand their vision of what an IT job entails and help young candidates understand that their skills related to the newest technologies can really make an impact within their organization.


A&G:  Stewardship of the bits becomes more and more an issue as value shifts from physical to digital ownership.  This shift is accelerating at many of the companies who read our magazine.  These companies used to make their money selling physical goods and running bricks and mortar establishments.  Now their primary value comes from the data they own and the insight it generates.  How should these companies protect their digital assets at the same time leverage them to generate increasing value?


These companies face two orthogonal issues:  How do I find value in the information I have collected, and how do I protect the information that I have?


Traditional digital protection is about protecting the medium – with access codes and firewalls and encryption.  But the growing issue now is about also protecting the “message”.  Who speaks for your brand?  How should you respond and nurture public commentary.  What insight should you give away, and what should you charge for?  How do you (and your customers) know that the message they are seeing is really legitimate?


A&G:  To further your point, look at the explosion of Twitter.  While there are hundreds of thousands of people “tweeting” away every day about life, products, issues etc., very few companies have embraced the medium.  Just recently, an imposter named “Janet” became the voice of ExxonMobile in the twitterverse just by registering and tweeting under the name @ExxonMobileCorp.  She answered questions on behalf of the company for several days before she was exposed.  And even after exposure, she continued to tweet under Exxon’s brand.


BtB: Right, the question becomes one of information security – not just security of the medium.  It is one of the key challenges facing IT today.


About the authors:

Ken Ledeen is Chairman and CEO of Nevo Technologies and has served on the boards of numerous technology companies.  Harry Lewis, former Dean of Harvard College, is Gordon McKay Professor of Computer Science at Harvard.  Together with Hal Abelson the teach Quantative Reasoning 48, an innovative Harvard course on information for non-technical, non-mathematically oriented students.



Semantic Web Coverage


Recently, SciVestor was quoted in a piece on the emergence of Semantic Web technologies in InfoWorld.

With the Semantic Web’s ability to hone in on just the information a user needs, companies based on a Web search advertising model such as Google may have to reconsider their plans, said analyst Jonas Lamis, executive director of SciVestor.

“They may need to rethink their business model because if I have an agent that acts on my behalf and finds things that are interesting for me, it’s not necessarily going to be reading Google ads to do that,” Lamis said.

You can read the full piece here: http://www.infoworld.com/article/08/01/15/sparql-semantic-web_1.html

 



Military Working on Cyborg Spy Moths


The creation of insects whose flesh grows around computer parts — known from science fiction as cyborgs — has been described as one of the most ambitious robotics projects ever conceived by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), the research and development arm of the U.S. Department of Defense.

FOXNews.com - Scientist: Military Working on Cyborg Spy Moths - Technology News | News On Technology



Esther Dyson on Metaweb and the flexible metamodel


I’m following the Metaweb thread and came across a great posting from Esther Dyson. Her analysis of folksonomies vs. flexible metamodeling vs. DB design is spot on from my perspective.

Intelligence will emerge from systems when the right metamodel is pared with the right algorithms. Algorithms alone (eg. Google Search) won’t get us there.

The Blog | Esther Dyson: Release 0.9: Metaweb - Emergent Structure vs. Intelligent Design | The Huffington Post



The World In 2007 | Towards immortality


The World In 2007 | Towards immortality

From the Economist Magazine…

More and more drugs developed to treat disease are turning out also to offer the potential to “enhance” the cognitive powers of healthy people, and to push human life expectancy much further, perhaps to 115 years and beyond.

and covered on the Accelerating Future blog.



Surfing The Tsunami


The next 10 years of technology innovation will be unlike anything our world has ever seen. Corporations need to paddle like hell to catch this wave—or they might just be ripped asunder.

Download and read the full article excerpted from the August issue of Architecture and Governance Magazine.